MICHAEL HURRICANE TRACK UPDATE

European Model projected rainfall from MichaelĪnd if all that was not bad enough as Michael makes landfall Wednesday afternoon it will also bring with it the threat for severe storms in the outer bands which could produce tornadoes for central portions of Florida and up into Georgia. On top of the water from storm surge Michael is going to bring heavy rains to a large area of the east coast with portions of Florida, Georgia and up into North and South Carolina having the possibility of seeing 5-8 inches of rain, which will likely cause flash flooding. This portion of Florida has now seen a potential storm surge like this in decades so this wall of water could cause massive damage to the shoreline and buildings that have been built right along the water. Projected storm surge for portions of Florida To go along with the powerful winds storm surge is going to be a major issue for areas from Panama City Beach to the east through the Big Bend region with the possibility for some areas to see a surge as high as 8-12 feet. Increasing the search distance to 115 miles will rectify this. Since the default search range is 60 miles, search results for Houston won’t include Hurricane Harvey. These powerful winds are likely to cause widespread power outages for many along the Florida coast and up into Georgia and possibility the Carolinas. For example, Hurricane Harvey (2017) caused catastrophic flooding and over 60 deaths in the Houston area, but this storm track didn’t come within 90 miles of the city. The main impact with be the winds which will be as high as 125-130 mph near the eye as it makes landfall with a large area along the entire Florida panhandle over to Mobile and halfway up into Georgia expected to experience tropical storm force winds of 40 mph or greater. Hurricane Michael is continuing to strengthen as it moves north, but the storms track has shifted east, placing Escambia and Santa Rosa counties just outside the forecast cone, according to the 10.

MICHAEL HURRICANE TRACK UPDATE

The map will update every three hours as the National Hurricane Center makes new projections. Favorable conditions including anomalously warm sea-surface temperatures, weakening environmental shear, and abundant atmospheric moisture all played a major role during its quick intensification. This is shaping up to be a very dangerous situation for many on the East Coast with many forms of potential impacts. Use the map to track the storm’s path and strength as it travels. From this point on, Michael was on a fast-track to becoming a major hurricane as it headed generally north across the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Hurricane warnings have been issued from the AL-FL border to the lower Big Bend region of Florida and up into the southwest region while tropical storm warnings are up for portions of Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi and even up into South Carolina.

NHC projected track for Hurricane Michael Please monitor the forecast for Hurricane Michael, and if the projected track and/or conditions change, an update for services will be provided. The new track forecast has Michael making landfall as a major hurricane with 125 mph winds near Panama City Beach, Florida Wednesday afternoon. Tropical Satellite of Michael Tuesday afternoon With the 4PM update Michael has strengthen to a major category 3 hurricane with 120 mph winds and gusts up to 150 mph.

Michael hurricane track